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| Copyright 1998 by the | Psychology in Spain, Vol 2 No 1, 17-26 |
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Factors which predict the effectiveness of different treatments of mild depression or dysphoria. Research on depression indicates different predictive factors for the development of depressive behaviour. In spite of this, cognitive-behavioural treatment is being applied to the general population of depressive subjects. In this study, two groups were formed from a sample of 236 mild depressive or dysphoric adolescents: the "cognitive dysphoric" group, composed of subjects with depressive attributional style, and the "behavioural dysphoric" group, made up of subjects with deficient social behaviour. We used these two groups to compare the effectiveness of applying a treatment matched with the type of dysphoria and a nonmatched treatment. The ANOVA results indicate that the treatment matched with the type of dysphoria is more effective than the nonmatched treatment.
Las investigaciones sobre la depresión señalan, factores predictores diferentes para el desarrollo de las conductas depresivas. A pesar de ello, el tratamiento cognitivo-conductual se aplica indistintamente a la población general de sujetos depresivos. En este estudio, se forman dos grupos a partir de una muestra de 236 adolescentes con depresión leve o disforia: el grupo "disfórico cognitivo" constituido por sujetos con un estilo atribucional depresivo, y el grupo "disfórico conductual" formado por sujetos con deficiencias en la conducta social. Utilizamos, estos dos grupos para comparar la eficacia de aplicar un tratamiento emparejado y uno no emparejado con el tipo de disforia. Los resultados del ANOVA indican que el tratamiento emparejado con el tipo de disforia es más efectivo que el tratamiento no emparejado.
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The original Spanish version of this paper has been previously published in Psicothema, 1997, Vol. 9 No 1, 105-117
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*Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Carmen Rodríguez-Naranjo. Facultad de Psicología. Universidad de Málaga. Campus de Teatinos, s/n. 29071 Málaga. Spain.
Findings of the cognitive models
In the first place are the cognitive models of Ellis and Beck, the authors whose starting
point was the clinical observation of depressive symptomatology. The approach of Ellis (1962, 1987; Ellis and Grieger, 1977) has become
practically obsolete in research on depressive disorders, possibly because no reliable and
valid measu res of its cognitive constructs have been developed (Kendall and Korgeski, 1979; Smith, 1989). Moreover, research on
its therapeutic assumptions is virtually non existent. Beck's model (1967; Beck, Rush, Shaw and Emery, 1979),
on the other hand, offers the approach that has been most influential, offering as it does
a series of theoretical principles of great heuristic value, which continue to inspire
numerous studies on cognitive fac tors in depressive disorders. Furthermore, it is on this
approach that the most important current form of treating depression is based.
Most research based on the revised theory of learned helplessness (see Buceta and Polaino-Lorente, 1982),
and the more recent theory of hopelessness (Abramson, Metalsky and Alloy,
1989; Alloy, Abramson, Metalsky
and Hartlage, 1988), indicates that there is an important relationship between
negative attributions and depression. The findings from Seligman's (1975) reformulated
learned helplessness approach already tended to confirm that the style of causal
attribution, in interaction with stressful life events, is a factor of cognitive
vulnerability for the development of depression (Alloy et al., 1988; Alloy, Lipman and Abramson, 1992).
Nevertheless, in many other studies attributional style is not found to be related to
depressive responses (Barnett and
Gotlib, 1988; Brewin, 1985; Lewinsohn, Steinmetz, Larson and
Franklin, 1981), even when a stressful element is present. The contradictory results
in this field can perhaps partly be explained from the position of Alloy et al. (1992). These authors
maintain that a depressive attributional style may contribute to the development of
depressive symptoms and may increase the probability of depression, but that it is not a
necessary condition for the generation of depressive reactions. Thus, further factors,
cognitive or other, may also predispose subjects to experience depressive reactions.
Clinical investigation on deficiencies of
social behaviour in depressive subjects
In the behavioural model of depression it is postulated that the decrease in the
proportion of positive reinforce ment contingent on behaviour plays a fundamental role as
a triggering stimulus for depressive behaviours (Lewinsohn, Youngren and Grosscup, 1979). In accordance with this
assumption, general difficulties as regards social skills for obtaining the available
social reinforcement have been associated with depression (Lewinsohn, Mischel, Chaplin and Barton,
1980), as have deficiencies in assertive behaviour (Raich, Carregal, Hernández and
Sánchez, 1987; Sánchez v
Lewinsohn, 1980). This approach has given rise to the therapeutic proposal presented
in the book Control your depression (Lewinsohn,
Muñoz, Youngren and Zeiss, 1986).
Although this perspective on depression is less develo ped than the cognitive approach,
there is a wealth of material on the social behaviour of depressive people (Coyne, 1976; Lewinsohn, 1975; Lewinsohn et al., 1979;
Rosenblatt and Greenberg, 1991; Sanz and Graña, 1991). It has even
been found that measures of social skills predict subsequent depression (Wierzbicki, 1984). Other studies
show that depressive subjects tend to be more sensitive to aversive social contingencies
than con trol groups of normal and psychiatric subjects (Lewinsohn and Amenson, 1978; Lewinsohn, Lobitz and Wilson, 1973;
Lewinsohn et al., 1980).
This means that these subjects perceive the consequences of negative social interaction
(for example, being criticised or disagreed with) in a more aversive way than normal and
psychiatric subjects.
According to Lewinsohn and his co-workers, once the subject fails to emit an adaptive
pattern of social behaviour, a decrease is generated in the reinforcement contingent on
this behaviour which, in the event of being perpetuated, may intensify the depressive
state, giving rise to a vicious circle that is difficult to break. In this sense, in the
interactive model of depression it is proposed that depressive behaviours generate
negative reac tions in others, which serve as negative feedback for maintaining the
depressive state (Coyne, 1976).
Coyne has shown that problematic social behaviour of depressive subjects (or with
predisposition to depression) generates rejection by the social environment. However, the
rejection is subtle: the depressive person (probably through his/her passive complaints)
elicits feelings of guilt in others who, consequently, instead of responding in an openly
hostile manner, offer nongenuine verbal support (Rosenblatt and Greenberg, 1991). The depressive person realises that
he/she is not truly accepted, and consequently tries to control others' behaviour,
generating more symptoms and expressing more affliction. The inconsistent and partial
reinforcement generated by these behaviours makes them difficult to extinguish. Thus,
reinforcement is very probably taking place, but in order to increase nonadaptive patterns
of behaviour. Nevertheless, contradictory results with this approach have also been found
in studies that do not find the phenomenon of negative feedback in depressive subjects (King and Heller, 1984; MacNeil, Arkowitz and Pritchard, 1987).
Implications of the exposed models for the
treatment of depression
The models described are those that have generated most research on depressive reactions,
being mainly focused on the study of the factors that facilitate or favour
this type of reaction. It may occur, and the results reviewed are consistent with this,
that different subjects present equally depressive behaviour controlled by different
factors (Staats and Heiby, 1985).
While the phenomenological nature of the depressive disorder may be similar (distorted
thoughts, feelings of inferiority, low level of activity), both the distal environmental
factors responsible for the onset of these reactions and, in turn, the proximal factors
res ponsible for their taking root and continuing (for example, negative attributional
style or deficiencies in social skills) may be different, and thus require the distinction
of different types of depression. These types may predict the response to different types
of treatment. It is on this basis that we can interpret the findings indicating that
different treatments may be dealing with different levels, or dimensions, of the disorder
(Maldonado, 1984; Polaino, Barcelo and Maldonado, 1991).
The classification of depressive behaviours should be made precisely on the basis of the
factors that predict the effectiveness of therapy. In sum, we feel it necessary to resolve
the existing contradictions between the theoreti calmethodological assumptions of clinical
psychology (determining the treatment according to the particular characteristics of each
disorder) and its practice (the increasingly widespread design and use of multicompo nent
programmes).
Within this conceptual framework, the study presented here is aimed at testing whether the
results of treating mild depression or dysphoria depend on whether or not the treatment is
matched with the type of depression suffered by the subject. The results are considered on
the basis of effects on depression measures and on anxiety level of subjects. Since we
postulate that the differential effectiveness of treatments depends on their modifying the
variables that lead to the development of depressive episodes, we consider it advisable to
test our hypothesis on subjects with mild depression or dysphoria, in whom it is less
probable that there is a conjunction of factors which, in continuous interaction, require
a more com plex type of treatment. We leave, therefore, for future research the study of
those variables on which we should take action to avoid the intensification of depressive
behaviours and relapses.
METHOD
Subjects
The total sample of participants in this study was made up of 236 adolescents in
secondary/further education, 97 of whom were male and 139 female. Mean age was 15 years 5
months, the age range being 14-23 years.
Materials and procedure Assessment instruments
(a) Depression. To evaluate the depressive state, we used the Centre for the Epidemiological Study of Depression Scale (CESD) constructed by Radloff (1977), which includes the following factors: (1) Somatic
disorders, (2) Depressed affect, (3) Positive affect, and (4) Interpersonal problems.
Subjects are requested to indicate the frequency with which they experienced each symptom
during the previous week. Responses are assessed on a 4-point scale that ranges from
"rarely or not at all (less than once a day)": 0, to "most or all of the
time (5-7 days)": 3. This scale of 20 items has been used successfully to assess
depressive symptoms in adolescents (Compass,
Ey and Grant, 1993; Gotlib,
Lewinsohn and Seeley, 1995). Its alpha coefficients range from .84 to .90, and its
four-factor structure has been sufficiently endorsed (Joseph and Lewis, 1995). The total
scores have a range of 0 to 60 points, with 17 or more being taken to indicate
"possible" depression, and 23 or more "probable" depression. However,
some authors recommend reducing the cut-off scores in order to decrease the frequency of
false nega tives (Myers and
Weissman, 1980). Thus, in order to select dysphoric subjects, we used the mean in
depression of the sample under study (Mean: 14.10 points; S.D.: 8.39).
We also used Beck's Depression Inventory (BDI), designed by Beck et al. (1979) to assess the seriousness of the depressive
symptoms and their response to treatment, specifically, its Spanish adaptation, composed
of 19 items (Conde, Esteban and
Useros, 1976).
(b) Attributional style. Attributional style was assessed by means of the
Attributional Style Questionnaire (ASQ) of Seligman, Abramson, Semmell and Von Baeyer (1979) and Peterson, Semmell, Von Baeyer,
Abramson, Metalsky and Seligman (1982). We used the version of Vázquez, Avia, Alonso and Fernández (1989),
in which to the original dimensions (internal-external, stable-unstable and
global-specific) they add the dimensions controllable-uncontrollable and
personal-universal. These attributional dimensions were assessed only for negative events,
since these correlate more strongly with depressive affect than positive events (Raps, Peterson, Reinhard, Abramson and
Seligman. 1982; Seligman et al., 1979;
Sweeney, Anderson and Bailey, 1986).
To adapt the situations of the scale to our population of adolescents we carried out a
pilot study on 198 adolescent students, with similar characteristics to the sampled
subjects, who were asked to write down all those events that had given them bad feelings
over the last two years. We found the following events to be those most frequently
mentioned, and con sequently it was these that made up the final scale:
1. You spend some time worrying about school marks.
2. You fail a subject.
3. Your father punishes you and scolds you for somet hing that has happened.
4. You have some problem at home (such as an argu ment with a member of your family).
5. You have to repeat a school year.
6. You have an accident.
7. You have an argument with a friend.
8. You have a disappointment in love.
9. You have a problem with a teacher.
10. You lose someone's friendship.
11. Your pet dies.
The final score of the scale is obtained by including only the responses about those
events that subjects consider important for themselves, operationalised in a score of 5
points on a scale that ranges from "no impor tance" (1 point) to "very
important" (7 points).
(c) Social skills. To assess this variable we used the College SelfExpression
Scale (CSES; Galassi, Deleo, Galassi
and Bastien, 1974), in its Spanish adaptation by Caballo and Carrobles (1987). This
scale was chosen as it concentrated specifically on subjects' self-assertion. It assesses
three types of behaviour: positive expression, negative expression and negative
consideration of one self. The peoplestimuli to which the scale refers are: strangers,
figures of authority, family and relatives, and peers of both sexes.
(d) Anxiety. The Stimulus-Response
Inventory of Anxiousness (SR) of Endler, Hunt and Rosenstein (1962)
and Endler and Okada (1975)
consists of 11 potentially anxietyinducing situations (involving inter personal threat,
physical harm and ambiguous or novel situations), and 14 questions asking about the
anxiety reactions of the subject faced with each of the situations presented.
Specifically, three modalities of answer were considered: (1) fear, hindrance and
avoidance; (2) optimism, joy and approach; and (3) autonomic reactions.
(e) Questionnaire for the assessment of
various disor ders according to the criteria of the DSM III-R. A questionnaire was developed from the DSM III-R (APA, 1987) for the assessment of
anxiety disorder, severe depression, obsessive-compulsive reactions and addic tion
(current or previous) to drugs or alcohol.
Procedure used for the selection of
subjects to be involved in the treatment conditions
The subjects to be employed were chosen in the follo wing way. A first selection was made
on the basis of those who obtained scores of 14 points or more on the CESD. From this
group we selected those who fulfilled the criteria for the formation of the two groups cogniti ve dysphoric and behavioural dysphoric. In the case of the cognitive
dysphoric group, these criteria were the
following: (a) showing a negative style of causal expla nation (scores higher than 0.25
standard deviations above the mean of the sample in the ASQ); and (b) absence of
deficiencies in social skills (scores lower than 0.25 standard deviations below the mean
of the sample in the CSES). Following the same criteria, the behavioural dysphoric group
was made up of subjects who presented: (a) an intact attributional style, and (b)
deficiencies in social skills. A previous study (Rodríguez-Naranjo and Godoy, 1996) lent support to the formation of
these two groups on the basis of, among others, the following results: (a) Attributional
style (ASQ) and social skills (CSES) demonstrated significant and independent predictive
power for the scores in mild depression or dysphoria. (b) Other variables classically
associated with depression, such as selfesteem, negati ve life events and anxiety were not
found to associate significantly with the scores in dysphoria. (c) Dysphoric subjects that
did not present deficiencies in either causal attributions or in social skills did not
attain the criterion of mild depression in the BDI, and those who presented deficiencies
in the two variables were the ones that sco red highly on this depression scale. (d) The
most inte resting finding in this study was that subjects who presented deficiencies in
causal attribution style, but not in social skills (cognitive dysphoric group),
reported having experienced a significantly greater number of important negative life
events than those subjects with deficiencies in social skills, but with an intact
attributio nal style (behavioural dysphoric group). This latter group presented the same scarcity of
negative life events as the nondysphoric subjects. These findings, obtained in two
independent samples of dysphoric adolescents, allowed us to differentiate two types of
dysphoria, in line with the suggestions of Alloy et al. (1988). In the current study, then, we follow the same
criteria for the formation of the groups cognitive
dysphoric and behavioural dysphoric. Of all
the subjects of the sample assigned to one group or the other, we discarded those who,
according to the criteria of the DSMIII R, suffered from any of the following disorders:
anxiety disorder, severe depression, obsessivecompulsive reactions and addiction (current
or previous) to drugs or alcohol. Also discarded were subjects that had received
psychological or psychiatric treatment at some point in their lives, and those who had
suffered serious physical disorders. Lastly, we excluded those subjects that the BDI
indica ted were considering suicide and those that were unwilling to participate in the
treatment.
Design used to constitute the treatment
conditions
The final sample, used for comparing the effectiveness of matched and nonmatched
treatments with the two types of mild depression or dysphoria described above, was made up
of 30 subjects (9 males and 21 females) ranging in age from 14 to 23 years (mean age:
15.50; S.D. = l.74). Subjects were randomly assigned to one of the two following
conditions: (a) matched treatment condition (cognitive
dysphoric group treated with cogni tive
therapy and behavioural dysphoric group treated with behavioural therapy) (n = 14); and (b)
nonmatched treatment condition (cognitive
dysphoric group treated with behavioural
therapy and behavioural dysphoric group treated with cognitive therapy) (n = 16) (Table 1). The respective analyses were carried out on the subjects
who responded to the scales completely: 30 subjects for the scale CESD; 29 subjects for
the scale BDI (matched treatment: 14; nonmatched treatment: 15); and 19 sub jects on the
scale SR (matched treatment: 9; nonmat ched treatment: 10).
Procedure carried out for the application
of the cognitive and behavioural therapies
For the application of the treatments, two groups of cognitive therapy were formed, and
another two of beha vioural therapy, each consisting of 7 or 8 subjects, mixed with regard
to type of dysphoria, cognitive or behavioural. Both those subjects undergoing cognitive
therapy and those undergoing behavioural therapy had weekly meetings with two therapists
over a period of eight weeks. The therapists were blind with respect to the experimental
conditions.
Cognitive therapy. The modification of the
depressive style of causal explanation has received very little atten tion from the
clinical perspective, such attention being limited, in terms of treatment for depression,
to the reat tribution strategies suggested by Beck in his therapeutic procedure. This
procedure has, however, been carried out in the experimental literature on achievement
motivation (Försterling, 1980; Seligman, 1981).
In applying attributional retraining to those subjects with mild depression, our basic
objective was that they learn to formulate adaptive causal explanations for negative
events. To this end, we proceeded with the follo wing phases: (1) Subjects were provided
with a cognitive explanation of emotional distress (Evans and Hollon, 1988). (2) The
target situations of the treatment were determined (e.g., arguments with family and
friends, disappointments in love, failing or having to repeat school subjects or years,
etc.). We reviewed the causal explanations most frequently formulated by subjects about
negative situations and analysed them on the basis of the attributional dimensions:
internality, uncontrolla bility, stability and globality. (3) We analysed the evi dence
for maintaining these causal interpretations about the target situations. Possible
alternative interpretations were suggested and discussed with subjects. The process
included the elements: (a) moving from internal causal explanations to external ones; (b)
moving from internal and uncontrollable explanations with internal founda tions
(e.g., "I'm to blame for having failed") to internal and controllable ones
("I failed because I didn't study enough"); (c) moving from stable explanations
to unsta ble ones; and (d) moving from global explanations to specific ones. In cases
where the attributed internal cause is considered pertinent, the objective is for sub
jects to perceive this cause in terms of another, more adaptive dimension (for example,
"they argued because I argued with them", moving from the global pole, "I
always argue with everybody", to the specific pole, "on that occasion I argued
with them"). (4) We analysed and discussed the negative conclusions derived from the
nonadaptive causal explanations, mainly those related to selfblame and selfcriticism (Beck et al., 1979). With respect
to point (d) above, we analysed how global explanations tend to lead to negative general
conclu sions (for example, "my failures are due to my general lack of ability, so
I'll probably fail in everything I do" to "I think I'm a failure"). (5)
Lastly, we analysed the positive consequences of formulating alternative interpreta tions
(external, controllable, unstable and/or specific) for negative events. Following the
previous example, if failures are something specific that have a series of spe cific
causes (what these causes may be are determined with the active cooperation of the
subjects), the subject will not expect to fail in other activities. This is an inte
ractive process in which, following the example, we move again to point (4), asking
subjects to formulate examples of other negative conclusions that can be drawn from
failing an exam or getting bad marks, analy sing the implicit attributional dimensions,
generating alternatives and reassessing the previous conclusions.
Behavioural therapy. This consisted in
carrying out training in coping skills for social interaction situations, giving
particular importance to training in social skills. Specifically, the techniques used were
those deriving from the work of Lewinsohn, Biglan and Zeiss (1976) for training in social
skills, which have been shown to be effective for the treatment of depressive reactions (Antonuccio, Ward & Tearnan, 1989;
Reed, 1994). The procedure
consists of the following elements: (1) The social skills basis is explained as the cause
of the emo tional distress. (2) The target behaviour is determined. (3) The target
behaviour is modelled and practised. (4) Feedback and reinforcement from the group is
imple mented after the realisation of the target behaviour. These steps are carried out
for the training of the following behaviours: giving and receiving affection and praise,
making and rejecting requests, dealing with criti cism, initiating and maintaining
conversations, and dea ling with intimate relationships. Also included were skills of
assertive acceptance and expression of positive feelings for increasing the social support
received by subjects (Henderson,
1974). Both procedures being directed towards the treatment of subjects with mild
depression, the treatment pro gramme has a marked didactic character; consequently, it is
carried out without the inclusion of "homework" tasks.
RESULTS
To assess the differential effectiveness of matched and nonmatched treatments for the
specific type of mild depression or dysphoria presented by subjects, we carried out an
ANOVA for each depression measure (BDI and CESD) separately. The ANOVA was used in a mixed
design of two factors with repeated measures in one of them. One factor was treatment
condition (mat ched versus nonmatched) and the second was constituted by the treatment
phase (preversus posttreatment). Thus, in the case of differences in
effectiveness occurring bet ween the matched and nonmatched treatments, these would be
produced by the interaction of the two factors. The results obtained show that the
interaction is very close to statistical significance in the case of the BDI (F (1,27) =
3.81, p = .06), and statistically significant for the scores on the CESD (F(1,28) = 4.09,
(p< .05). Figure 1 shows the differences between preand
posttreatment scores for the BDI and CESD, in the two treatment conditions. Lastly, we
carried out the same type of analysis to determine whether treatment condition (matched versus
nonmatched) affected subjects' anxiety. The results show a decrease in anxiety after the
matched treatment, whilst the nonmatched treatment was seen to produce a slight increase
in these reactions. However, these diffe rences were not statistically significant
(F(1,17) = 2.69, p = .12).
DISCUSSION
The results of this study allow us to draw a series of con clusions. Firstly, subjects
with dysphoria or mild depres sion appear to improve differentially according to whet her
they undergo treatment that is matched or nonmat ched with the type of mild depression
from which they suffer. As expected, the dysphoria of those subjects to whom the treatment
matched with the dysphoric state was applied decreased significantly more than that of
those subjects to whom the nonmatched treatment was applied, at least as it is measured by
the CESD. These results are concordant with the latest predictions of the reformulated
model of learned helplessness in that the style of causal attribution is a predominant
factor for a depression type (Abramson
et al., 1989), in our study mild depression or dysphoria, referred to as cognitive.
The results obtained also support previous findings about the role played by social skills
for predicting depressive reactions (Lewinsohn,
1975). The differential effectiveness for decreasing dysphoria of attributional
training, on the one hand, and of social skills training, on the other, according to the
presence or absence of defi ciencies in these factors, supports our distinguishing of two
types of mild depression or dysphoria (Rodríguez Naranjo and Godoy, 1996). Following García Hurtado,
Fernández-Ballesteros, Montero and Heiby (1995), and in terms of the para digmatic
behavioural theory (Heiby and
Staats, 1990; Staats and Heiby,
1985), the deficiencies in social skills of dysphoric subjects may be constituted in
the sensorymotor repertoire and the negative attributional style in the
linguisticcognitive repertoire, which res pectively trigger two different types of
dysphoria, which in turn respond differentially to therapy. We also feel that this
approach might be complemented by the distinction between proximal and distal causes of
depression, made by Alloy et al. (1988),
since this approach allows a better understanding of the develop ment of depressive
reactions. Thus, the interaction of negative life events with depressive attributional
style (distal causes) permits us to predict the probable appe arance of a specific type of
mild depression or dyspho ria, which we call cognitive
dysphoria, and to differen tiate it from
another type generated by deficiencies in social skills, which we call behavioural dysphoria (Rodríguez-Naranjo and
Godoy, 1996). Other types of proximal causes, such as expectations of lack of con trol
over one's own depressive reactions, may prolong or exacerbate depressive reactions. Teasdale (1985) refers to this as depression about depression, and emp hasises the important repercussions of this factor
for therapy. In this case we would not be speaking, then, about factors that lead to
dysphoria, but rather about factors that contribute to depressive behaviours being
maintained, or even aggravated. The vicious circle that appears to constitute clinical
depression means that it is very difficult to make valid generalisations about clinical
depressives from research carried out with students that present subclinical depres sion
or dysphoria (Coyne, 1994; FechnerBates, Coyne and Schwenk, 1994).
Without contradicting the above, this study was carried out on the assumption that the dif
ferential factors that predispose people to depression should be studied in subjects with
low levels of depres sion, followed, ideally, by longitudinal studies. Consequently, the
study of the effectiveness of treat ment for mild depression ceases to be a mere analogy
of clinical research and becomes a study carried out under real treatment conditions. In
conclusion, these results demonstrate the usefulness of distinguishing different types of
depression, at least where mild depression or dysphoria is concerned. The fact that we
have identified predictive, and possibly determinant, factors of two types of mild
depression has helped us to clarify some of the factors on which the effectiveness of
different treatment strategies depends. As early as the 1950s it was suggested that if the
experi mental method could be applied to the clarification of the basic causal factors
underlying functional abnorma lities, then, evidently, the same techniques (aimed at the
experimental manipulation of these factors) could be applied to changing the abnormal
behaviour (Yates, 1970). Today,
research has developed from the study of spe cific cases to levels of more
generalisability when making predictions about change. Thus, studies that identify factors
of vulnerability or risk for suffering from future disorders are more and more frequent.
The next step in our work must therefore be to test whether treatments matched with a type
of dysphoria are also more effective than nonmatched treatments for pre venting subjects
demonstrating highrisk characteris tics from developing depressive behaviour in the futu
re, both in the school context and in that of institutions whose purpose is to promote
health. This is an area in which great advances can, and should, be achieved in coming
decades.
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